Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 12:15 PM, 221 voters in 27 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 192,497 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 155,503 - 218,558). In addition, 346,196 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 89,200 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward

ward	time_of_day	turnout	turnout_p025	turnout_p975
01	12:15 PM	2817	c(2.5% = 2509)	c(97.5% = 2943)
02	12:15 PM	4552	c(2.5% = 4010)	c(97.5% = 4908)
03	12:15 PM	2431	c(2.5% = 1932)	c(97.5% = 2974)
04	12:15 PM	2411	c(2.5% = 1817)	c(97.5% = 2950)
05	12:15 PM	6623	c(2.5% = 5695)	c(97.5% = 7326)
06	12:15 PM	1662	c(2.5% = 1393)	c(97.5% = 1995)
07	12:15 PM	1514	c(2.5% = 838)	c(97.5% = 2162)
08	12:15 PM	6198	c(2.5% = 5311)	c(97.5% = 6745)
09	12:15 PM	2931	c(2.5% = 2656)	c(97.5% = 3178)
10	12:15 PM	3542	c(2.5% = 2949)	c(97.5% = 4420)
11	12:15 PM	1519	c(2.5% = 1123)	c(97.5% = 1929)
12	12:15 PM	2665	c(2.5% = 2116)	c(97.5% = 3296)
13	12:15 PM	2384	c(2.5% = 1843)	c(97.5% = 2983)
14	12:15 PM	1081	c(2.5% = 913)	c(97.5% = 1264)
15	12:15 PM	3241	c(2.5% = 2841)	c(97.5% = 3474)
16	12:15 PM	1262	c(2.5% = 891)	c(97.5% = 1580)
17	12:15 PM	2937	c(2.5% = 2291)	c(97.5% = 3643)
18	12:15 PM	2796	c(2.5% = 2287)	c(97.5% = 3034)
19	12:15 PM	1146	c(2.5% = 697)	c(97.5% = 1541)
20	12:15 PM	1198	c(2.5% = 849)	c(97.5% = 1484)
21	12:15 PM	7136	c(2.5% = 5794)	c(97.5% = 7786)
22	12:15 PM	3881	c(2.5% = 3425)	c(97.5% = 4570)
23	12:15 PM	2232	c(2.5% = 1604)	c(97.5% = 2654)
24	12:15 PM	1944	c(2.5% = 1487)	c(97.5% = 2307)
25	12:15 PM	1837	c(2.5% = 1229)	c(97.5% = 2240)
26	12:15 PM	2745	c(2.5% = 2191)	c(97.5% = 2990)
27	12:15 PM	3632	c(2.5% = 2467)	c(97.5% = 4244)
28	12:15 PM	1341	c(2.5% = 956)	c(97.5% = 1713)
29	12:15 PM	1402	c(2.5% = 1175)	c(97.5% = 1619)
30	12:15 PM	2930	c(2.5% = 2627)	c(97.5% = 3247)
31	12:15 PM	2494	c(2.5% = 2101)	c(97.5% = 2653)
32	12:15 PM	2252	c(2.5% = 1618)	c(97.5% = 2782)
33	12:15 PM	1822	c(2.5% = 1046)	c(97.5% = 2470)
34	12:15 PM	5119	c(2.5% = 4308)	c(97.5% = 6026)
35	12:15 PM	3431	c(2.5% = 2416)	c(97.5% = 4057)
36	12:15 PM	4246	c(2.5% = 3602)	c(97.5% = 4775)
37	12:15 PM	1435	c(2.5% = 997)	c(97.5% = 1778)
38	12:15 PM	2580	c(2.5% = 2168)	c(97.5% = 2915)
39	12:15 PM	5289	c(2.5% = 4167)	c(97.5% = 5641)
40	12:15 PM	5319	c(2.5% = 4105)	c(97.5% = 6401)
41	12:15 PM	2019	c(2.5% = 1378)	c(97.5% = 2499)
42	12:15 PM	2592	c(2.5% = 1777)	c(97.5% = 3267)
43	12:15 PM	1973	c(2.5% = 1275)	c(97.5% = 2565)
44	12:15 PM	1623	c(2.5% = 1224)	c(97.5% = 1973)
45	12:15 PM	2329	c(2.5% = 1648)	c(97.5% = 2799)
46	12:15 PM	3240	c(2.5% = 2907)	c(97.5% = 3736)
47	12:15 PM	1007	c(2.5% = 775)	c(97.5% = 1205)
48	12:15 PM	2380	c(2.5% = 1860)	c(97.5% = 2791)
49	12:15 PM	2950	c(2.5% = 2273)	c(97.5% = 3578)
50	12:15 PM	4203	c(2.5% = 3637)	c(97.5% = 4986)
51	12:15 PM	2652	c(2.5% = 2087)	c(97.5% = 3296)
52	12:15 PM	3302	c(2.5% = 2885)	c(97.5% = 3939)
53	12:15 PM	2304	c(2.5% = 1592)	c(97.5% = 2793)
54	12:15 PM	1637	c(2.5% = 1001)	c(97.5% = 2097)
55	12:15 PM	2629	c(2.5% = 1828)	c(97.5% = 3247)
56	12:15 PM	3900	c(2.5% = 2905)	c(97.5% = 4636)
57	12:15 PM	3439	c(2.5% = 2559)	c(97.5% = 3973)
58	12:15 PM	5738	c(2.5% = 4240)	c(97.5% = 6713)
59	12:15 PM	2876	c(2.5% = 2359)	c(97.5% = 3459)
60	12:15 PM	2274	c(2.5% = 1858)	c(97.5% = 2757)
61	12:15 PM	3525	c(2.5% = 2743)	c(97.5% = 4314)
62	12:15 PM	2456	c(2.5% = 1591)	c(97.5% = 3082)
63	12:15 PM	3281	c(2.5% = 2604)	c(97.5% = 3703)
64	12:15 PM	1803	c(2.5% = 1317)	c(97.5% = 2174)
65	12:15 PM	2674	c(2.5% = 2057)	c(97.5% = 3100)
66	12:15 PM	5711	c(2.5% = 4391)	c(97.5% = 6577)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data

Time of Vote	Precinct	Voter Number
7:10 AM	5107	2
7:41 AM	0537	24
7:42 AM	0501	14
7:43 AM	0828	33
7:03 AM	2714	2
7:40 AM	1508	38
7:48 AM	1503	38
7:48 AM	1503	38
7:25 AM	0214	16
7:56 AM	3636	33
7:13 AM	0218	9
8:07 AM	4603	27
8:16 AM	0218	60
8:18 AM	0222	68
8:10 AM	1810	36
8:20 AM	3635	57
8:30 AM	3110	55
8:32 AM	0532	69
8:30 AM	2707	45
8:32 AM	2702	48
8:15 AM	3901	52
8:15 AM	3640	64
8:38 AM	3638	55
8:38 AM	3637	31
8:42 AM	0525	64
8:40 AM	0501	36
7:30 AM	0202	28
8:40 AM	0537	56
8:12 AM	4616	41
8:35 AM	3909	65
8:43 AM	0517	69
8:49 AM	0834	73
8:49 AM	0206	69
8:50 AM	0828	77
8:07 AM	0801	40
7:30 AM	3640	31
7:30 AM	3104	29
8:50 AM	0213	25
8:40 AM	2717	56
8:45 AM	2101	47
8:25 AM	3945	52
7:48 AM	1503	38
7:48 AM	1503	38
9:02 AM	1503	92
7:15 AM	0902	12
8:40 AM	2717	56
7:01 AM	0807	13
9:09 AM	4701	73
8:50 AM	0213	25
9:10 AM	1514	81
7:55 AM	1517	30
9:00 AM	3914	40
8:00 AM	5702	60
8:30 AM	2105	91
8:30 AM	2105	91
9:15 AM	2714	51
8:15 AM	2605	56
9:20 AM	3637	100
9:20 AM	3638	79
8:30 AM	0521	92
9:20 AM	0532	112
9:15 AM	1802	73
9:24 AM	2911	62
9:03 AM	0229	95
9:23 AM	0812	138
8:50 AM	0828	77
9:00 AM	3107	100
9:15 AM	3639	86
9:15 AM	0120	76
9:30 AM	0308	109
9:30 AM	0807	98
9:25 AM	3610	84
9:34 AM	0818	50
9:34 AM	0818	50
9:35 AM	0817	107
8:40 AM	1514	68
8:00 AM	0106	69
8:40 AM	1514	68
9:38 AM	6008	49
9:30 AM	3636	108
7:15 AM	0114	9
9:46 AM	3111	104
9:47 AM	0204	72
9:50 AM	0505	92
9:55 AM	0528	148
9:45 AM	0224	110
9:45 AM	0224	109
7:45 AM	0517	35
9:58 AM	3636	120
9:49 AM	2212	74
8:00 AM	0817	100
10:05 AM	1503	129
10:02 AM	0517	135
8:15 AM	3516	56
7:20 AM	2217	17
8:15 AM	3516	56
7:40 AM	2105	45
10:00 AM	0110	97
9:40 AM	0222	97
10:00 AM	2622	82
10:03 AM	3006	101
8:15 AM	2619	77
10:02 AM	0835	100
10:18 AM	3104	156
10:20 AM	4701	114
7:45 AM	0516	41
10:18 AM	0515	420
8:28 AM	0516	70
9:50 AM	0505	92
10:15 AM	3641	78
9:50 AM	0505	92
10:29 AM	0509	188
10:30 AM	1513	95
8:00 AM	2113	13
10:39 AM	0537	108
10:40 AM	0501	75
10:15 AM	3115	144
10:10 AM	4603	60
9:45 AM	1517	101
10:40 AM	0206	115
10:42 AM	0505	117
10:44 AM	0834	93
9:30 AM	0807	98
10:45 AM	0807	115
10:45 AM	1503	147
10:45 AM	0309	129
10:40 AM	3629	76
10:52 AM	1717	90
10:52 AM	1717	90
7:30 AM	1802	38
10:50 AM	2706	156
10:45 AM	2713	96
10:02 AM	4622	131
11:00 AM	2707	86
11:11 AM	3103	151
11:10 AM	3113	101
8:30 AM	0201	103
8:40 AM	0824	57
11:07 AM	6008	67
8:00 AM	4601	37
11:00 AM	2208	91
9:00 AM	0822	1
11:00 AM	2101	131
10:00 AM	0101	79
10:00 AM	0102	90
10:00 AM	0103	136
10:00 AM	0104	92
10:00 AM	0105	45
10:00 AM	0106	93
10:00 AM	0107	40
10:00 AM	0108	89
10:00 AM	0109	83
10:00 AM	0110	104
10:00 AM	0111	86
10:00 AM	0112	69
10:00 AM	0113	122
10:00 AM	0114	85
10:00 AM	0115	139
10:00 AM	0116	68
10:00 AM	0117	79
10:00 AM	0118	121
10:00 AM	0119	75
10:00 AM	0120	106
10:00 AM	0121	130
11:17 AM	3943	119
11:00 AM	1811	150
11:18 AM	4701	135
11:00 AM	3103	5
11:15 AM	0526	175
11:00 AM	5904	142
8:30 AM	0504	105
11:22 AM	1503	156
9:02 AM	0120	63
8:10 AM	0819	60
11:29 AM	0213	47
9:15 AM	0904	69
11:30 AM	3914	140
11:30 AM	4920	110
10:00 AM	3945	156
11:00 AM	0102	111
11:00 AM	0108	105
11:00 AM	0109	89
11:00 AM	0107	54
11:30 AM	0833	124
11:00 AM	0104	120
7:50 AM	4622	31
11:00 AM	0105	47
11:30 AM	1810	140
11:39 AM	0834	106
11:32 AM	0116	99
11:43 AM	0537	122
11:43 AM	0501	99
11:45 AM	2702	88
11:40 AM	4808	118
11:53 AM	0528	194
11:45 AM	1815	121
11:45 AM	1816	192
11:45 AM	1817	193
11:45 AM	0217	111
11:50 AM	3610	112
11:50 AM	0217	112
12:00 PM	3637	153
12:00 PM	3638	118
9:40 AM	0218	88
12:05 PM	0110	127
9:20 AM	0803	123
9:22 AM	0803	125
11:00 AM	0209	104
7:22 AM	0506	9
12:01 PM	0101	96
12:01 PM	0103	164
12:00 PM	2125	127
12:01 PM	0107	69
12:01 PM	0110	127
12:01 PM	0114	128
12:01 PM	0115	191
12:01 PM	0117	175
12:01 PM	0119	166
12:15 PM	1503	175
12:01 PM	0121	160
10:00 AM	2702	65

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions